The true odds of hitting a 10-team point parlay are 1,023-1, while the payoff is generally around 600-1, so a parlay bettor is at a big disadvantage.
To put it in simple terms, money line parlays take the amount of your bet and place all of the money on one team and if that team wins, recalculates your bet amount on the next team, again placing your entire wager on that team.
To read more about parlays, see Parlay Cards, Finding Correlated Parlays or Betting Baseball Parlays.
Money line parlay payoffs are calculated on the odds of the game, so there is no advantage or disadvantage in playing them.
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There are basic types of parlays, those wagered against the point spread and those wagered using the money line. If you place a four team parlay, going 3-1 is no different than going 0-4. All of your bets must win, or at least tie, in order for you to win.
What this means is that a bettor making a wager on a five-team parlay stands to win $25 for every $1 if all of their games win, while a correct eight-parlay will payout $150 for every $1 wagered. Simply stated, a parlay is a collection of two or more sides or totals that you bet on and all of them must win in order for you to win your bet. The payoffs a bettor will receive should they win are quite different in the two. The chances of the a good baseball team with its ace pitcher on the mound defeating a mediocre opponent are going to be greater than 50 percent and the payout if the parlay hits will reflect this.
For example, say a bettor likes the Los Angeles Dodgers +160 and the Chicago Cubs -130. If the bettor places a $10 wager, they essentially would have a $10 bet on the Dodgers +160, which will return $26 should the Dodgers win, and then would have $26 on the Cubs -130. Should the Cubs also win, the bettor has turned a $10 wager into $46. The ability to win a lot of money for a small bet is the primary reason parlays are popular with a number of sports bettors.
Money Line Parlays
Money line parlays do not use fixed odds, because the odds of winning vary greatly from team to team. While a parlay made against the point spread assumes a 50-50 chance for each team of winning, money line parlays do not. For example, the true odds of winning a three-team parlay when making point spread wagers are 7-1, while the payoff is only 6-1, and it gets worse as you bet more teams. The odds of the payoff are much less than the true odds. In parlays involving point spreads, the payoff are fixed, while money line parlay payoffs are determined by the odds of each team.
Point Spread Parlays
The odds on a typical parlay involving point spreads, including totals, are generally something like:
March 21, 2016.
. The difference in the payoff is because the Dodgers were not given very good odds of winning.
Are Parlays Good Bets?
The simple answer is no, especially parlays involving point spreads or totals. Contrast the $36 profit with the $26 profit a bettor winning a $10 point spread parlay on two teams would make. 2 teams 13-5
3 teams 6-1
4 teams 10-1
5 teams 25-1
6 teams 40-1
7 teams 75-1
8 teams 150-1
9 teams 300-1
10 teams 600-1
Bettors should stick with straight bets when betting against the point spread or totals as it’s difficult enough to pick one winner, let alone two or more games and the odds you are asked to try and beat are nearly impossible to overcome in the long run.
By Allen Moody
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Parlays are by far the most popular of the exotic wagers, as they offer the potential for a big payout from a small wager
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